Scotland · Statistics / 06
Pupil numbers
Observed school rolls, sector change and clearly separated projections.
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Projections · conditional estimates
Modelled pupil–teacher ratios
2025 workforce-planning scenario · pupils per teacher FTE
These are modelled values, including the 2025 starting year. The 53,500 FTE workforce assumption is an input to the model, not an observed or guaranteed workforce.
Scottish Government · Published June 2026
Resident children aged 0–15
−165,900 projected change between mid-2024 and mid-2049 in the principal projection.
Projected Population of Scotland: 2024-based ↗ · 2024-based principal projection
Resident children aged 0–15 are not the same population as pupils on school rolls.